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Asset Pricing Under
Asymmetric Information
Bubbles, Crashes, Technical
Analysis and Herding
Reference: |
Oxford University Press, 2001. |
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Abstract: |
Asset prices are driven by public news and information that is dispersed
among many market participants. Traditional asset pricing
theories have assumed that all investors hold symmetric
information. Research in the past two decades has shown that the
inclusion of asymmetric information drastically alters
traditional results. This book provides a detailed up-to-date
survey that serves as a map for students and other researchers
navigating through this literature.
The
book starts by introducing the reader to different knowledge,
equilibrium and efficiency concepts. After explaining no-trade
theorems, it highlights the important role of asymmetric
information in explaining the existence and anatomy of bubbles.
The subsequent overview of market microstructure models shows
how information is reflected in prices and how traders can infer
it from prices. Insights derived from herding models are used to
provide explanations for stock market crashes. If investors have
short horizons, price correcting arbitrage activity is limited
and investors have a tendency to focus on the same (possible
unimportant) news, a phenomena which led Keynes to compare the
stock market with a beauty contest. The book concludes with a
brief summary of bank runs and their connection to financial
crises.
In summary, models with asymmetric information provide a better
understanding of bubbles, crashes and other market
inefficiencies and frictions. |
Keywords: |
Bubbles,
Crashes, Asymmetric Information, Epistemology, Knowledge, Common
Knowledge, Mutual Knowledge, Market Microstructure, Rational
Expectations, No-trade theorems, Trend Chasing, Market
Completeness, Insider Trading, Technical Analysis, Trend
chasing, Herding, Information Externalities, Information
Cascades, Sunspots, Limits to Arbitrage, Keynes’ Beauty
Contest, Short-termism, Bank Runs, Financial Crisis. |
Endorsements: |
Franklin
Allen, Michael Brennan and Hyun Shin |
Downloads: |
Chapter
6 can be downloaded for free |
Bookshops: |
Amazon.com,
Barnes
and Nobel,
Oxford
University Press |
Teaching
Material: |
Syllabus, slides |
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